Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 1056.635468 1216.414055 1401.574530 1634.282166 1922.184920 2271.072691 2.732718e+03
2024-10-06 845.134484 1046.170809 1304.164472 1668.172322 2183.446169 2911.731587 4.069064e+03
2024-10-13 715.019470 920.604166 1199.779513 1621.013927 2268.439975 3279.663215 5.106797e+03
2024-10-20 626.591120 832.119131 1124.115183 1589.733006 2357.470895 3668.515787 6.344286e+03
2024-10-27 552.524232 750.920442 1042.572367 1527.972077 2374.450832 3930.855628 7.464797e+03
2024-11-03 521.140205 726.508437 1040.088515 1587.999223 2608.206395 4660.335444 1.000569e+04
2024-11-10 490.303897 698.366597 1026.529550 1624.804990 2806.395829 5391.624048 1.311571e+04
2024-11-17 463.331150 672.703280 1012.703010 1657.192568 3002.702073 6199.162234 1.722325e+04
2024-11-24 430.159538 633.459367 970.863875 1629.634723 3065.531606 6710.014553 2.092145e+04
2024-12-01 410.092815 613.580688 959.699776 1658.792654 3261.484267 7668.766486 2.781499e+04
2024-12-08 395.541354 601.369645 960.327170 1711.212423 3527.159105 8981.389346 3.912311e+04
2024-12-15 376.808362 580.191392 942.010264 1720.629102 3688.724742 10064.975731 5.214501e+04
2024-12-22 354.927162 553.187349 912.737489 1708.241494 3809.822272 11173.989754 7.057038e+04
2024-12-29 341.374577 540.045071 908.977510 1754.072338 4116.578484 13309.123575 1.134493e+05
2025-01-05 319.030385 508.921966 866.289867 1701.273405 4113.712100 14115.179363 1.477691e+05
2025-01-12 300.924028 484.211952 833.987940 1668.465231 4165.960637 15270.466297 2.057616e+05
2025-01-19 281.395468 455.461735 790.811297 1602.444616 4092.079007 15731.444159 2.591294e+05
2025-01-26 275.389966 451.676655 798.673513 1666.508720 4485.458316 19367.355837 5.673580e+05
2025-02-02 267.587840 443.802600 797.035906 1705.787738 4810.744032 23167.470678 1.369008e+06
2025-02-09 259.928390 435.598780 793.801343 1740.378507 5137.296467 27686.152711 4.485990e+06
2025-02-16 248.070741 418.311858 769.014060 1710.946359 5195.136732 30115.627613 1.260025e+07
2025-02-23 241.388548 410.882252 765.521345 1742.087309 5529.552804 36135.340921 3.461006e+08
2025-03-02 236.733389 407.188096 770.102396 1798.103556 6010.162080 45578.775612 NaN